Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.031247 0.033602 0.036063 0.038830 0.041860 0.045080 0.048767
2025-06-01 0.027070 0.030362 0.033983 0.038275 0.043243 0.048835 0.055637
2025-06-08 0.024117 0.027901 0.032223 0.037554 0.043995 0.051576 0.061251
2025-06-15 0.022085 0.026192 0.031029 0.037193 0.044908 0.054336 0.066869
2025-06-22 0.020484 0.024804 0.030025 0.036866 0.045693 0.056840 0.072203
2025-06-29 0.018994 0.023411 0.028866 0.036186 0.045886 0.058491 0.076432
2025-07-06 0.018180 0.022788 0.028600 0.036581 0.047434 0.061940 0.083256
2025-07-13 0.017313 0.022027 0.028084 0.036576 0.048393 0.064600 0.089124
2025-07-20 0.016708 0.021562 0.027911 0.036990 0.049914 0.068091 0.096407
2025-07-27 0.015937 0.020824 0.027317 0.036765 0.050488 0.070227 0.101796
2025-08-03 0.015233 0.020134 0.026742 0.036516 0.050984 0.072244 0.107110
2025-08-10 0.014602 0.019510 0.026219 0.036297 0.051487 0.074270 0.112555
2025-08-17 0.014050 0.018976 0.025801 0.036214 0.052196 0.076671 0.118834
2025-08-24 0.013410 0.018285 0.025123 0.035704 0.052211 0.077974 0.123380
2025-08-31 0.012773 0.017570 0.024375 0.035041 0.051937 0.078776 0.127107
2025-09-07 0.012276 0.017036 0.023865 0.034709 0.052154 0.080372 0.132319
2025-09-14 0.011822 0.016545 0.023394 0.034408 0.052394 0.082001 0.137698
2025-09-21 0.011313 0.015951 0.022741 0.033783 0.052057 0.082616 0.141242
2025-09-28 0.011089 0.015774 0.022713 0.034146 0.053376 0.086150 0.150545
2025-10-05 0.010787 0.015466 0.022466 0.034141 0.054062 0.088607 0.157976
2025-10-12 0.010595 0.015318 0.022459 0.034522 0.055426 0.092355 0.168281
2025-10-19 0.010276 0.014961 0.022110 0.034315 0.055744 0.094204 0.174893
2025-10-26 0.009970 0.014613 0.021759 0.034087 0.056005 0.095953 0.181442